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INFORME DEL MERCADO DE CIBERSEGURIDAD
DE LOS EDITORES EN CBSERSECURITY VENTURES
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Cybersecurity Market Report es publicado trimestralmente por Cybersecurity Ventures . Cubrimos el negocio de seguridad cibernética, que incluye el tamaño del mercado y las previsiones de la industria de investigación consolidada de analistas de TI, tendencias emergentes, cibercrimen, empleo, sector federal, notables fusiones y adquisiciones, capital de riesgo e inversiones corporativas, actividad de IPO, y más.
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TAMAÑO DEL MERCADO Y PROYECCIONES
Cybersecurity Ventures predice que el gasto mundial en ciberseguridad superará los $ 1 billón de 2017 a 2021
El cibercrimen continúa alimentando el crecimiento del mercado de ciberseguridad
- Steve Morgan , editor en jefe
Menlo Park, Calif. - 31 de mayo de 2017
Cybersecurity Ventures predice que el gasto global en productos y servicios de seguridad cibernética excederá $ 1 billón en forma acumulada en los próximos cinco años, de 2017 a 2021.
En 2004, el mercado mundial de ciberseguridad valía $ 3.5 mil millones , y en 2017 esperamos que valga más de $ 120 mil millones. El mercado de ciberseguridad creció aproximadamente 35 veces en 13 años.
Mientras que todos los demás sectores tecnológicos se guían por la reducción de ineficiencias y el aumento de la productividad, el gasto en seguridad cibernética es impulsado por el cibercrimen. La actividad de ciberdelincuencia sin precedentes que presenciamos está generando tanto gasto cibernético, es casi imposible de seguir para los analistas.
Anticipamos un crecimiento del mercado de ciberseguridad del 12-15 por ciento año tras año hasta el 2021, en comparación con el 8-10 por ciento proyectado en los próximos cinco años por varios analistas de la industria.
Las previsiones de los analistas de TI no pueden seguir el ritmo del aumento del cibercrimen, la epidemia del ransomware, la reorientación del malware de PC y portátiles a teléfonos inteligentes y dispositivos móviles, el despliegue de miles de millones de dispositivos de Internet de las cosas (IoT) poco protegidos, legiones de piratas informáticos a sueldo y los ciberataques más sofisticados que se lanzan en empresas, gobiernos, instituciones educativas y consumidores en todo el mundo.
Es probable que las empresas analistas alcancen nuestras proyecciones en 2017 y actualicen la proporción desproporcionadamente baja del gasto total en TI que se espera que represente la seguridad (durante los próximos 5 años) en sus informes actuales. Para 2020, esperamos que los analistas de TI que cubren la ciberseguridad pronostiquen pronósticos de gastos a cinco años (hasta 2025) a más de $ 1 billón.
GASTO CORPORATIVO
Los presupuestos de seguridad de las empresas están subiendo
Muchas corporaciones dudan en anunciar infracciones que han sufrido, y las cantidades de sus mayores presupuestos de seguridad, por temor a daños reputacionales y por enemistarse con ciberdelincuentes.
Rob Owens , analista de investigación sénior para software de seguridad e infraestructura en Pacific Crest Securities, dijo recientemente a Investor's Business Daily que ve una demanda reprimida de gasto en ciberseguridad . Él dice que las compañías todavía no están gastando lo suficiente en seguridad. "Creo que la seguridad ha sido un área de bajo gasto durante décadas. Está gastando aproximadamente el 3% de su gasto de capital (gastos de capital) centrado en TI en seguridad. Eso es relativamente bajo ".
Hay algunas corporaciones que han presentado presupuestos de seguridad cibernética cada vez mayores. JP Morgan Chase & Co. duplicó su presupuesto anual de ciberseguridad de $ 250 millones a $ 500 millones. Bank of America ha dejado constancia de que tiene un presupuesto ilimitado a la hora de combatir el cibercrimen.
Microsoft Corp. continuará invirtiendo más de $ 1 mil millones anuales en investigación y desarrollo de ciberseguridaden los próximos años, según un alto ejecutivo del gigante tecnológico.
La Casa Blanca declara que el gobierno de EE. UU. Invertirá más de $ 19 mil millones para la ciberseguridad como parte del presupuesto del año fiscal 2017 del presidente. Eso es más de los $ 14 mil millones presupuestados en 2016. Esto representa un aumento de más del 35 por ciento desde el año fiscal 2016 en los recursos federales en general para la ciberseguridad, una inversión necesaria para asegurar nuestra nación en el futuro.
Patrocinado por Airbus CyberSecurity
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INFORMANDO NÚMEROS
El gasto en seguridad de TI se ha vuelto más difícil de rastrear
Los informes históricos de analistas están enraizados en 'seguridad de TI' (servidores, equipos de red, centros de datos e infraestructura de TI, PC, computadoras portátiles, tabletas y teléfonos inteligentes) y no han evolucionado completamente a 'seguridad cibernética' que incluye dispositivos no computacionales y no centrados en TI plataformas y entornos, que cubren submercados enteros, es decir, seguridad de la aviación, seguridad del automóvil, seguridad de IoT y seguridad IIoT (Internet Industrial of Things). Todos esos segmentos de mercado combinados conforman el mercado de seguridad cibernética.
Even IT security services are difficult to fully size. Tech is a cottage industry which includes tens of thousands of VARs (value-added-resellers), IT solution providers, and SIs (systems integrators) who wrap IT security services around the IT infrastructures they implement and support — but (most of) these firms don’t break out and report cybersecurity revenues as a separate bucket.
“A large portion of information security related spending is not accounted for as being information-security related” writes Joseph Steinberg, an Inc. Magazine columnist covering cybersecurity. “Consider, for example, that an organization developing a software package for internal use might spend money from its development budget on technology to scan code for vulnerabilities – the expenditure, however, may never be tracked back to an information-security budget” adds Steinberg.
Big branded tech companies with sizable professional services organizations providing cybersecurity services have yet to set up specific divisions or revenue reporting which analysts need in order to capture accurate market figures.
There’s also many new players getting into cybersecurity. CPAs and attorneys who used to answer their clients’ what-if and what-now questions around data breaches — are now starting up lucrative cyber consulting divisions.
The IT Security Spending Survey — published by SANS Institute in 2016 — states “Tracking security-related budget and cost line items to justify expenditures or document trends can be difficult because security activities cut across many business areas, including human resources, training and help desk.
SANS states that most organizations fold their security budgets and spending into another cost center, whether IT (48%), general operations (19%) or compliance (4%), where security budget and cost line items are combined with other related factors. Only 23% track security budgets and costs as its own cost center. SANS makes an astute observation which may account for the shortfall in IT spending projections by some researchers and analysts.
PERSONAL SECURITY
Consumer cybersecurity spending is not fully accounted for
Consumer spending on information-security is often impossible to track, according to an Inc. Magazine article. How can analysts possibly know, for example, when, after a malware infection, someone pays a consultant to wipe and restore-to-factory-settings his or her computer or smartphone.
Spending in the consumer category includes personal identity theft protection services, computer and mobile phone repair services specific to malware and virus removal, installation of anti-virus and malware protection software, post-breach services including data recovery and user education on best practices for personal cyber defense.
The consumer cybersecurity market is much bigger than just the anti-virus and malware defense apps that are purchased or come pre-installed. Much like corporations, consumers are spending time and money as a result of cyber-attacks.
CYBERCRIME COSTS
Cybercrime damages will cost the world $6 trillion annually by 2021
Cybersecurity Ventures predicts cybercrime will continue rising and cost businesses globally more than $6 trillion annually by 2021. The estimate is based on historical cybercrime figures including recent year-over-year growth, a dramatic increase in hostile nation state sponsored and organized crime gang hacking activities, a cyber attack surface which will be an order of magnitude greater than it is today, and the cyber defenses expected to be pitted against hackers and cybercriminals over that time.
The cybercrime cost prediction includes damage and destruction of data, stolen money, lost productivity, theft of intellectual property, theft of personal and financial data, embezzlement, fraud, post-attack disruption to the normal course of business, forensic investigation, restoration and deletion of hacked data and systems, and reputational harm.
The worldwide cyber damage estimates do not include unreported cybercrimes, legal and public relations fees, declines in stock and public company valuations directly and indirectly related to security breaches, negative impact on post-hack ability to raise capital for start-ups, interruptions to e-commerce and other digital business transactions, loss of competitive advantage, departure of staff and recruiting replacement employees in connection with cyber-attacks and resulting losses, ongoing investigations to trace stolen data and money, and other.
IT ANALYSTS
Market researchers size information security spending
A Gartner report projected global spending on “IT security” products and services would top $81 billion in 2016, an increase of 7.9% over the prior year (this is not a “cybersecurity” projection that would include all aspects of cyber defense i.e. consumers, IoT devices, automobiles, etc.). The largest areas of information security spending are consulting and IT outsourcing, according to the report.
A 2016 report from BI Intelligence — Business Insider’s research service — estimated $655 billion will be spent on cybersecurity initiatives to protect PCs, mobile devices, and Internet of Things (IoT) devices between 2015 and 2020. BI breaks down the forecasted spending as follows: $386 billion spent on securing PCs; $172 billion spent on securing IoT devices; and $113 billion spent on securing mobile devices.
A Morgan Stanley Blue Paper published this past summer — “Cybersecurity: Rethinking Security” — examines why and how digital security could evolve in the next several years—and what these changes mean for investors.. and asserts the cybersecurity market could grow by more than four times overall IT spend.
North America and Europe are the leading cybersecurity revenue contributors, according to a report from TechSci Research. Asia-Pacific is rapidly emerging as a potential market for cyber security solution providers, driven by emerging economies such as China, India and South-East Asian countries, wherein, rising cyber espionage by foreign countries is inducing the need for safeguarding cyber space.
India should see huge cybersecurity market growth over the next decade. According to Data Security Council of India (DSCI), India’s cybersecurity market is expected to grow nine-fold to $35 billion by 2025, from about $4 billion. This would mainly be driven by an ecosystem to promote the growth of indigenous security product and services start-up companies.
According to IDC, the hot areas for growth are security analytics / SIEM (10 percent); threat intelligence (10 percent +); mobile security (18 percent); and cloud security (50 percent). A Tech Republic story states the cloud security market is expected to be worth $12 billion by 2020, according to a report from Transparency Market Research.
Government spending on cybersecurity has increased at an average annual rate of 14.5% between FY 2006 and FY 2017, outpacing procurement in every other type of major government program, according to Scott Homa, Senior Vice President for Mid-Atlantic Research at Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. (JLL), a financial and professional services firm specializing in commercial real estate services and investment management with 60,000 employees across 280 corporate offices worldwide.
Demand for vendor-furnished information security products and services by the U.S. federal government will increase from $8.6 billion in FY 2015 to $11 billion in 2020 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2 percent, according to “Deltek’s Federal Information Security Market Report”. Deltek states that as federal agencies struggle to stay ahead of the cybersecurity threats, more and more of their IT spend is being devoted to cybersecurity, reaching over 10 percent of IT spend by 2020.
Stay tuned for the Cybersecurity Market Report, Q2 2017 edition.
– Steve Morgan is founder and Editor-In-Chief at Cybersecurity Ventures
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